• The field work for the survey was carried in between 29th November to 9th December 2012.
  • The sample size of the survey was 3115 voters with a cross section representation of people of various communities proportionate to their representation across the state.
  • The survey was carried out in 51 rural areas and 23 urban and semi urban centers spread over 32 assembly constituencies.
  • The margin of error in the survey is +/- 3%.
  • If the figures don’t add upto 100% its due to respondents either favoring options not given in the questionnaire or having no opinion on the question posed.

Vote share and Seat Projection – Rayalaseema

        Party

Region

Rayalaseema

Total seats-51

Seat share

Vote share

(in percentage%)

2012

Congress-I

7

24%

TDP

5

22%

YSR Congress

39

42%

Vote share and Seat Projection – North Andhra

Party

Region

North Andhra

Total seats-34

Seat share

Vote Share

(in percentage%)

2012

Congress-I

12

29%

TDP

09

28%

YSR Congress

11

31%

Vote share and Seat Projection – Dakshina & Coastal Andhra

Party


Region

Dakshina & Coastal Andhra

Total seats-89

Seat share

Vote Share

(in percentage%)

2012

Congress-I

18

26%
TDP

15

24%
YSR Congress

54

38%

Vote share and Seat Projection – Telangana(excluding Greater Hyderabad)

Party

Region

Telangana(excluding Greater Hyderabad)

Total seats-95

Votes share

(in per centage%)

2012

TRS

48

35%

Congress-I

15

18%

TDP

14

20%

YSR Congress

9

11%

BJP

2

7%

Vote share and Seat Projection – Greater Hyderabad (including Hyderabad & Ranga Reddy districts)

 

Party

Region Greater Hyderabad (including Hyderabad & Ranga Reddy districts)

Total seats-24

Vote share

(in percentage%)

2012

Congress

3

12%

TDP

5

16%

YSR Congress

1

9%

MIM

10

19%

TRS

2

9%

BJP

3

15%

Vote share of parties

Party

Vote share

In 2013

Vote share in 2009

(ECI data)

Change (from 2009 to 2012)

Congress-I

22%

36.56%

-14.56%

TDP

21.9%

28.12%

-6.22%

YSR Congress

34.4%

+34.4%

TRS

9.7%

3.99%

+5.71%

BJP

4.3%

2.84%

+1.48%

MIM

2.1%

0.83%

+0.44%

PRP

16.22%

others

5.6%

12.1%

-6.5%

Vote share of parties

Party Vote share in 2009 Vote share in 2013 change
Congress-I+PRP 52.78% 22%     -30.78%
TDP 28.12% 21.9% -6.22%

~There is a whopping 30% decline in combined voteshare of Congress and PRP which merged into Congress,while main opposition TDP too has seen a decline of 6% in its vote share compared to 2009

Who would you prefer as Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh?

Name Popularity Party
Y.S.Jagan Mohan Reddy

35%

YSR Congress

N.Chandra Babu Naidu

21%

    TDP
K.Kiran Kumar Reddy

14%

Congress

K.Chandra Sekhar Rao

14%

TRS

Chiranjeevi

4%

Congress

Botsa Satyanarayana

3%

Congress

Purandeeshwari

2%

Congress

*It is to be noted that the preference for KCR is for the leadership of separate state and not for the state of Andhra Pradesh as a whole.


Are you satisfied with the performance of state government?

Satisfied

    23%
    Not satisfied

52%

How is the performance of Chief Minister Kiran Kumar Reddy?

Good 18%
Average 21%
Poor     43%

Who would you prefer to lead the Congress party?

Name Congress voters Others
K.Kiran Kumar Reddy

31%

26%

Jaipal Reddy

3%

3%

Botsa Satyanarayana

7%

4%

Chiranjeevi

8%

5%

Purandheeswari

4%

4%

 What is the most critical issue affecting you in the state?

Price Rise

31%

Power crisis

16%

Lack of basic amenities

16%

Unemployment

11%

Corruption

8%

How is the performance of main opposition TDP in the state?

Good

17%

Average

27%

Poor

33%

What is the reason for your preference for YSRCP?

Welfare schemes

28%

Sympathy factor for YSR

21%

Is young

9%

Want new alternative

8%

Political preferences of various social groups in Seemandhra regions

Social group Congress TDP YSRCP
Rural women 20% 19% 36%
Youth 17% 22% 34%
Urban voters 18% 26% 28%

Political preferences of social groups in Telangana

Social Group Congress TDP TRS
Rural Women 19% 18% 25%
Youth 16% 18% 33%
Urban voters 16% 21% 29%

Political preferences of various caste groups in AP

Community name Congress-I TDP

YSR Congress

TRS BJP
Reddys

15%

6%

61%

6%

5%

Khammas

25%

49%

9%

3%

3%

Kapu/balija

29%

18%

21%

3%

4%

Other Backward classes

16%

30%%

15%

18%

9%

Malas

20%

5%

64%

3%

2%

Madigas

16%

23%

13%

21%

5%

Other upper castes

21%

15%

26%

12%

9%

Political preference of Muslims

Community Congress

TDP

YSR Congress

TRS

Others

Muslims

16% 12% 41%

14%

16%

Are welfare schemes being implemented properly in the state?

Yes

24%

No

46%

Who do you think should be credited for the implementation of welfare schemes in the state?

Congress

21%

YSR

59%

 

~

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